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[ALL] May 18, 2017

PGA Betting Preview: AT&T Byron Nelson

By Gracenote

The PGA Tour heads back to Texas this week for the AT&T Byron Nelson from the TPC Four Seasons Resort Las Colinas in Irving, Texas. Irving has served as host city to the Nelson for 32 years and this event is the ninth longest running active tournament on the schedule. Despite following THE PLAYERS Championship, the field is still strong and we should be in store for another great weekend.

The TPC Four Seasons Resort is a 7,166-yard, par 70 layout and while there are plenty of hazards to deal with, it is the tough wind that players need to figure out. That will be the case again as the forecast is calling for high winds throughout the weekend. Hitting fairways has always been tough here and last year was no exception but because of the short course length, above average putting is essential.

Emphasis on strong putting will make a big difference in success or lack thereof. Long range putting is the key since Las Colinas ranked as one of the easier courses in turning greens in regulation into par breakers. Eight players in the field this week are ranked in the top ten in putting from outside 10 feet and of those, four finished in the top four in the tournament last year (Sergio Garcia win, Brook Koepka second, Tim Wilkinson fourth and Robert Garrigus fourth).

There are other statistical areas that we have to take into consideration as well. Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green is important every week but even more so here because of the layout. There are seven players that are ranked in the top ten in this category that are playing this week and four of those finished in the top ten here last year (Sergio Garcia win, Matt Kuchar third, Robert Garrigus fourth and Kyle Reifers tenth).

Course history is important because of the certain key categories that need to be done well so backing players with success here is a good route to go. Matt Kuchar is a perfect 9/9 with four top 15s including a solo third last year. Dustin Johnson is 7/7 with four top tens including two in the last three years. Sergio Garcia has only missed the cut three times in 12 trips while winning twice and Jason Day is a perfect 4/4 with three tops tens including a win in 2010.
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